DESTRUCTION TRACKER

Sealed supply that is already gone

Every graded chase card came out of a box that no longer exists. Work backwards: the PSA population of a set's chase, divided by the share of pulls that get graded, divided by how often a box deals that card, is the number of boxes that had to be opened to produce the slabs we can count. Across the 20 sets with population data that comes to roughly 4,415,874 boxes at our default assumptions. It is a floor: boxes whose chase was never graded are invisible to it.

Grading propensity1.00x

At 1.00x, a pulled chase gets graded 70% of the time at $2,000+, 50% of the time at $500+, 30% of the time at $150+, 15% of the time at $50+, 5% of the time under $50. Fewer submissions means more boxes were needed to produce the same population.

Set	PSA pop	Gem rate	Lead chase	Boxes opened	Packs
PRB01 Premium Booster: ONE PIECE CARD THE BEST	24,083	88%	Monkey.D.Luffy (OP05-119) (Manga) · pop 624	~428k	~8.56M
OP12 Legacy of the Master	48,058	87%	Marshall.D.Teach (SP) (Gold) · pop 893	~344k	~8.25M
OP09 Emperors in the New World	52,126	88%	Monkey.D.Luffy (Manga) · pop 1,209	~332k	~7.96M
OP11 A Fist of Divine Speed	50,339	86%	Monkey.D.Luffy (SP) (Gold) · pop 1,002	~325k	~7.80M
OP10 Royal Blood	30,370	87%	Trafalgar Law (Manga) · pop 2,630	~302k	~7.25M
OP14 The Azure Sea's Seven [OP14-EB04]	52,600	88%	Buggy - OP09-051 (SP) (Gold) · pop 848	~302k	~7.24M
OP05 Awakening of the New Era	47,990	89%	Monkey.D.Luffy (Alternate Art) (Manga) · pop 1,346	~297k	~7.12M
OP08 Two Legends	35,131	87%	Silvers Rayleigh (Parallel) (Manga) · pop 2,590	~273k	~6.54M
OP06 Wings of the Captain	39,604	91%	Roronoa Zoro (Alternate Art) (Manga) · pop 3,060	~228k	~5.48M
OP07 500 Years in the Future	33,418	90%	Boa Hancock (Parallel) (Manga) · pop 2,948	~227k	~5.44M
OP04 Kingdoms of Intrigue	25,921	88%	Boa Hancock (SP) · pop 3,031	~182k	~4.36M
OP13 Carrying On His Will	65,360	86%	Monkey.D.Luffy (Red Super Alternate Art) · pop 415	~168k	~4.03M
OP03 Pillars of Strength	17,777	83%	Sogeking (Alternate Art) (Manga) · pop 1,418	~166k	~3.99M
OP15 Adventure on Kami's Island [OP15-EB04]	24,774	89%	Enel (OP15-118) (Manga) · pop 946	~163k	~3.90M
PRB02 THE BEST vol.2	28,907	85%	Sanji - OP06-119 (Manga) · pop 1,478	~161k	~3.23M
OP01 Romance Dawn	48,595	84%	Shanks (Parallel) (Manga) (Alternate Art) · pop 1,802	~160k	~3.85M
EB03 ONE PIECE HEROINES EDITION	20,082	88%	Nico Robin (SP) · pop 1,088	~132k	~3.18M
OP02 Paramount War	21,579	87%	Portgas.D.Ace (Parallel) (Manga) (Alternate Art) · pop 1,784	~99k	~2.38M
EB02 Anime 25th Anniversary	13,014	86%	Boa Hancock (SP) · pop 199	~89k	~2.13M
EB01 Memorial Collection	7,833	89%	Tony Tony.Chopper (Alternate Art) (Manga) · pop 917	~39k	~931k

Boxes opened = chase PSA population ÷ share of pulls that get graded ÷ copies of that chase per box. Population from PSA, as of 2026-09-26; pull rates from our box EV model. An estimate of a floor, not a print run: it counts boxes that were opened AND had their chase graded.

How to read it

The number that matters is the ratio, not the level. A set whose chases imply 300,000 boxes opened against a 140,000-box neighbour from the same year has had its sealed supply eaten twice as fast, whatever the true print runs were. The submission rate is an assumption and the slider exists so you can see how much rides on it: expensive cards get graded almost every time, cheap SPs mostly do not, so the default ladder steps with the raw price. Open a set to see each chase's own implied figure; when two chases in one set disagree by 3x, one of our pull rates is off, and the rate table is where to look.

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