ONEPIECE TERMINALOP04Kingdoms of Intrigue
OP04 by the numbers
- Appreciation+64% a year from MSRP
- Chase valuetop 15 cards worth $2,603
- Destructionabout 183,060 boxes already opened
- Supply maturityover two years out, print run long closed
- Milestonea regular release
What the numbers say about OP04
A sealed OP04 box trades around $500, about 4.6 times its $108 MSRP. Print ended long ago and what is left is priced as a collectible in its own right, which is the main reason opening one costs far more than the cards inside are worth.
Our model puts the expected value of opening one at $109, 78% below what the sealed box costs. Averaged over many boxes you hand over $391 per box for the experience of opening it. OP04 is a set to hold sealed rather than rip.
Boa Hancock (SP) (OP01-078) is the most valuable card in OP04 at $1,033, on its own 38% of the set's entire card value. The fifteen most valuable cards hold 95% of everything the set is worth, so the rest of the checklist contributes very little in value terms.
Broken down by what you actually pull, special rares and wanted posters account for 46% of a box's expected return, at roughly one every 6 boxes. That is the line the set's economics rest on, and it is why box results feel streaky: miss it and the rest of the box does not come close to covering the cost.
OP04 released in September 2023, putting it 3 years out from print. Sealed product at that age is priced by what is left rather than by what is coming, so the sealed line tends to drift up while singles follow the meta.
Top 18 raw cards
Sealed & promo boxes
| Product | Market | 7d |
|---|---|---|
 Kingdoms of Intrigue - Booster Box Case | $8,500 | — |
 Double Pack Set Volume 1 Display | $875 | ±0.0% |
 Double Pack Set Volume 1 | $76.40 | ±0.0% |
 Kingdoms of Intrigue - Sleeved Booster Pack | $51.05 | +0.9% |
 Kingdoms of Intrigue - Booster Pack | $19.78 | +9.8% |
 Special DON!! Card Pack DP-01 | $15.36 | ±0.0% |
 Kingdoms of Intrigue - Dash Pack | $4.95 | −0.2% |
Is OP04 worth ripping?
Our live pull-rate model prices the expected value of opening a OP04 booster box at $109 against a sealed market price of $500: an EV ratio of 22%. Like almost every booster box, ripping is negative expected value: the sealed box is worth more than the average of what is inside it. Rip for the fun and the chase, hold for the value. Compare every set on the box EV rankings, or open one virtually in the free box simulator.
OP04 pull rates
| Rarity / class | Per box | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Red super alt-art | <1 | ~1 in 96 boxes |
| Manga rare | <1 | ~1 in 38 boxes |
| Super alt-art | <1 | ~1 in 48 boxes |
| SP / wanted poster | <1 | ~1 in 6 boxes |
| Treasure rare | <1 | ~1 in 12 boxes |
| Alt-art SEC | <1 | ~1 in 6 boxes |
| Alt-art (SR/L/R) | 2 | ~2 per box |
| SEC | <1 | ~1 in 3 boxes |
| SR | 7 | ~7 per box |
| Leader | 5 | ~5 per box |
| Rare | 26 | ~26 per box |
| Pandaman Art | <1 | ~1 in 2 boxes |
Every card in OP04: full card list & prices
| Class | Cards | Avg price | Per box | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manga rare | 1 | $750 | 1 in 38 | $19.72 |
| SP / wanted poster | 5 | $300 | 1 in 6 | $50.01 |
| Alt-art SEC | 2 | $14.31 | 1 in 6 | $2.38 |
| Alt-art (SR/L/R) | 22 | $17.83 | 2.0 | $35.65 |
| SEC | 2 | $3.66 | 1 in 3 | $1.22 |