OP04Kingdoms of Intrigue

A sealed OP04 box trades around $501, about 4.6 times its $108 MSRP. Print ended long ago and what is left is priced as a collectible in its own right, which is the main reason opening one costs far more than the cards inside are worth.

Our model puts the expected value of opening one at $118, 76% below what the sealed box costs. Averaged over many boxes you hand over $383 per box for the experience of opening it. OP04 is a set to hold sealed rather than rip.

Boa Hancock (SP) (OP01-078) is the most valuable card in OP04 at $996, on its own 34% of the set's entire card value. The fifteen most valuable cards hold 95% of everything the set is worth, so the rest of the checklist contributes very little in value terms.

Broken down by what you actually pull, special rares and wanted posters account for 42% of a box's expected return, at roughly one every 6 boxes. That is the line the set's economics rest on, and it is why box results feel streaky: miss it and the rest of the box does not come close to covering the cost.

OP04 released in September 2023, putting it 2 years out from print. Sealed product at that age is priced by what is left rather than by what is coming, so the sealed line tends to drift up while singles follow the meta.

Our live pull-rate model prices the expected value of opening a OP04 booster box at $118 against a sealed market price of $501: an EV ratio of 24%. Like almost every booster box, ripping is negative expected value: the sealed box is worth more than the average of what is inside it. Rip for the fun and the chase, hold for the value. Compare every set on the box EV rankings, or open one virtually in the free box simulator.