The thread

A post on r/ONEPIECETCG on August 31 asked a question newer players keep circling back to: what exactly made the ST10 Trafalgar Law leader so dominant, and how would it fare in the current format if it had never been removed from legal play. The poster said they were not playing at the time and had only heard the name in passing.

It is a community question, not an announcement, and there is no rules news attached. But nostalgia threads have a habit of moving thin markets, so here is where the ST10 stack actually sits.

The price check

As of August 30, the banned leader is the cheapest headline card in its own deck.

Card Number Rarity Price PSA pop Gem rate
Monkey.D.Luffy (002) ST10-002 L $12.19 474 87%
Trafalgar Law (001) ST10-001 L $3.69 269 92%
Trafalgar Law (010) ST10-010 SR $3.26 71 92%

The spread tells the story better than any format retrospective. The Luffy leader from the same product carries $12.19, roughly three and a third times the $3.69 on the Law leader. A leader that cannot be played in constructed does not command a competitive premium, and collectors have not fully replaced that demand with infamy value.

What the Law leader does have is a submission profile that suggests people still care about condition. 269 PSA entries at a 92% gem rate is a healthy population for a starter deck leader, and the ST10-010 SR version posts the same 92% on a much smaller 71 graded copies. Modern print quality plus low submission cost equals thin scarcity at the top of the grade curve.

Context: nothing else in ST10 is moving

The ST10 set page carries no box market or EV figures, which is standard for a starter product with no sealed pack economics to model. If you want the sets where sealed math is currently doing something, that is OP17 at a 1.32 EV ratio on a $340.40 box against $449 in expected value, the only entry above parity on our EV board.

OP17 is also where the week's damage is concentrated. Edward.Newgate (001) (Alternate Art) is down 75.2% to $21.58, Kaido (062) (Alternate Art) down 74.8% to $20.09, and Shanks (020) (Alternate Art) down 71.2% to $32.79. That is a fresh-set supply curve doing what fresh-set supply curves do, and it is the reason the box ratio still reads above one while singles bleed.

On the other side, Charlotte Pudding (Alternate Art) gained 63.8% to $33.63 and Nico Robin (062) (Parallel) added 51% to $113.99. Neither has anything to do with Law. That is the point.

The Terminal take

Ban-list nostalgia generates threads, not bids. A leader that once defined a metagame now trades at $3.69, below the $12.19 on the Luffy printed alongside it and barely above the $3.26 SR from the same deck. The graded numbers show steady interest at 269 submissions and 92% gem, but a 92% gem rate is also the reason a banned starter leader has no scarcity story to lean on. History is free here, and the market has priced it that way.