The thread

A player new to Red-Green Luffy posted on r/ONEPIECETCG on August 29 asking a simple question: is OP17-022 Shanks worth running in the list, and does two copies make sense as a test count? The poster noted the absence of published RG Luffy decklists for the current meta and was fishing for feedback rather than making a claim.

That is the whole event. No ban list, no product announcement, no tournament result. But deckbuilding chatter is exactly the kind of demand signal that moves a $6 singles price, and the timing here is unusually interesting because OP17 is currently the most violent set on our board in both directions.

What the card costs

Three printings, three completely different markets.

Printing Rarity Price (USD)
Shanks (022) SR base 6.30
Shanks (022) (Alternate Art) SR alt art 46.96
Shanks (022) (Manga) SR manga 1,455.94

The base copy at $6.30 is the relevant number for anyone actually answering the thread's question. A two-of test costs less than a booster pack's worth of hope. The alt art at $46.96 and the manga at $1,455.94 are collector instruments that happen to share a card number; they respond to chase-rarity supply, not to whether a Red-Green Luffy shell wants a 2-count tech.

That spread matters when you read forum sentiment. Play-driven demand pressures the cheap print first, because tables buy the cheapest legal copy. If the base SR starts drifting off $6.30 without the alt art moving, that is a competitive signal. If the alt art moves alone, that is a rarity story.

OP17 is the week's problem child

OP17 owns the entire top-five loser list on a seven-day basis, and the declines are not subtle. Shanks (020) (Alternate Art) is down 86.2% to $31.05. Kaido (062) (Alternate Art) fell 80.4% to $20.06. Edward.Newgate (001) (Alternate Art) shed 75.5% to $21.31, Monkey.D.Luffy (079) (Alternate Art) 72.1% to $63.28, and Rocks.D.Xebec (039) (Alternate Art) 68.1% to $60.41.

This is what post-release supply normalization looks like when a set's chase cards were priced off preorder scarcity. Meanwhile OP17 sits at the top of our box EV table, with sealed at $335.90 against an expected value of $398, a ratio of 1.19. It is the only set on the EV leaderboard above parity; OP15 is next at 0.80.

Read those two facts together carefully. A 1.19 ratio computed against singles that just dropped 70% to 86% in a week is a ratio built on fast-moving inputs. Cracking math looks best right when the components are still finding a floor.

Elsewhere on the tape

The gainer side had nothing to do with OP17. Mary Geoise (Alternate Art) ran 427.9% to $32.89, and Nico Robin (062) (Parallel) added 61% to $117.56.

The Terminal take

The cheapest way to answer a deckbuilding question is usually the cheapest printing, and at $6.30 the base OP17-022 is priced like a card nobody has decided about yet. The screen to watch is divergence: OP17's alt arts are down 68.1% to 86.2% on supply, so any strength in the base SR would be play demand, not rarity demand, and those two moves rarely happen at the same time.