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NEWSTERMINAL DESK ORIGINAL

Ban List Lands Tomorrow and the Tape Already Repriced Ahead of It

A community thread flagged Bandai's next restriction update for Sept 24. The seven-day board shows where the speculation already went.

By OnePiece Terminal Desk · September 23, 2026

Adventure on Kami's Island Booster Box
CARD ART © BANDAI / SHUEISHA · SHOWN FOR IDENTIFICATION

In this story: OP15 Adventure on Kami's Island [OP15-EB04] booster box

OP15 box
$256
sealed market
vs MSRP
2.1x
$119.76 retail
6 months
+10.7%
from $231

The list is tomorrow, the repricing was this week

Collectors on r/ONEPIECETCG spent Tuesday comparing notes on the restriction update due September 24, with the loudest wish being an unban rather than a new hit. Whatever Bandai prints, the secondary market did not wait for it: the seven-day board is full of singles that moved hard in both directions before anyone has read a line of the announcement.

> +222.5% · the seven-day gain on the Rob Lucci alternate art above

📦 OP15 booster box6 MONTHS · SEALED MARKET
since 2026-04-04
Sealed price against Bandai retail. Rip EV, pull rates and the full card list on the set page.

The cards it touches

No single card is confirmed on or off any list, so treat everything below as positioning rather than confirmation. The lead card above, Rob Lucci (Alternate Art), sits at $21.64 after the largest weekly percentage move on our board, and the chart shows how compressed that run was.

The Law pair did similar work at a calmer slope. Trafalgar Law - OP14-001 (Alternate Art) is at $37.13, up 68.9% on the week, with Trafalgar Law - OP14-009 (Alternate Art) at $23.80 and up 58.9%. Shirahoshi (022) (Alternate Art) rounds out the top of the gainer list at $46.72, up 62.2%.

The other side of the ledger is where restriction anxiety usually shows up first. Loki (Alternate Art) is down 21% to $49.90, and Sabo (004) (Alternate Art) is the week's steepest faller at minus 25.2%, now $27.96.

The tape this week

Five rows worth watching into the announcement window:

Card Price 7d
Rob Lucci (Alternate Art) $21.64 +222.5%
Trafalgar Law - OP14-001 (Alternate Art) $37.13 +68.9%
Shirahoshi (022) (Alternate Art) $46.72 +62.2%
Sabo (004) (Alternate Art) $27.96 -25.2%
Monkey.D.Luffy (001) $31.77 -20.9%

The ST01 Luffy print is the odd entry there, a starter-deck leader giving back 20.9% in a week where competitive singles ran. Mr.3(Galdino) - OP09-056 (Alternate Art) also flagged as a whale sighting at $20.42 on a 394.4% move, which is the kind of print that usually means thin float rather than deep demand.

The read

Ban list weeks reward the sets that hold playable staples, and the expected value board is a reasonable proxy for where those live. OP15 leads at a 0.74 EV ratio, $191 against a $258.14 box, with OP14 at 0.70 on a $261.79 box and OP11 at 0.72 on the priciest box in the group at $600.55. Full table sits on the EV page.

The useful thing about a dated announcement is that it splits the tape cleanly. Everything above is pre-list pricing, driven by guesswork and by a community that, per the thread, was quieter than usual about it. Post-list prints will be the honest ones.

Prices are point-in-time market estimates from OnePiece Terminal data, not financial advice. See how our data works.