ONEPIECE TERMINALOP16The Time of Battle
OP16 by the numbers
- Appreciation+283% a year from MSRP
- Chase valuetop 15 cards worth $4,263
- Destructionno population data yet
- Supply maturityunder a year out, reprints still likely
- Milestonea regular release
What the numbers say about OP16
OP16 sells for about $200 sealed, 67% above the $120 MSRP. Supply has tightened without going scarce, which usually means print is finished and stock is still working through the channel.
Our model puts the expected value of opening one at $103, 49% below what the sealed box costs. Averaged over many boxes you hand over $97.70 per box for the experience of opening it. OP16 is a set to hold sealed rather than rip.
Sakazuki (Manga) (OP16-065) is the most valuable card in OP16 at $1,112, on its own 24% of the set's entire card value. The fifteen most valuable cards hold 93% of everything the set is worth, so the rest of the checklist contributes very little in value terms.
Broken down by what you actually pull, alternate-art cards account for 33% of a box's expected return, at about 2 per box. That is the line the set's economics rest on, and it is why box results feel streaky: miss it and the rest of the box does not come close to covering the cost.
Top 18 raw cards
Sealed & promo boxes
| Product | Market | 7d |
|---|---|---|
 The Time of Battle Booster Box Case | $2,458 | −0.1% |
 Double Pack Set Vol. 11 Display | $253 | ±0.0% |
 Double Pack Set Vol. 11 | $30.43 | +0.7% |
 The Time of Battle Sleeved Booster Pack | $10.54 | +1.7% |
 The Time of Battle Booster Pack | $7.21 | −5.3% |
 Special DON!! Card Pack DP-11 | $5.45 | −2.2% |
Is OP16 worth ripping?
Our live pull-rate model prices the expected value of opening a OP16 booster box at $103 against a sealed market price of $200: an EV ratio of 51%. Like almost every booster box, ripping is negative expected value: the sealed box is worth more than the average of what is inside it. Rip for the fun and the chase, hold for the value. Compare every set on the box EV rankings, or open one virtually in the free box simulator.
OP16 pull rates
| Rarity / class | Per box | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Red super alt-art | <1 | ~1 in 96 boxes |
| Manga rare | <1 | ~1 in 36 boxes |
| Super alt-art | <1 | ~1 in 48 boxes |
| SP / wanted poster | <1 | ~1 in 6 boxes |
| Treasure rare | <1 | ~1 in 12 boxes |
| Gold/parallel DON!! | <1 | ~1 in 6 boxes |
| Alt-art SEC | <1 | ~1 in 6 boxes |
| Alt-art (SR/L/R) | 2 | ~2 per box |
| SEC | <1 | ~1 in 3 boxes |
| SR | 7 | ~7 per box |
| Leader | 5 | ~5 per box |
| Rare | 26 | ~26 per box |
| Pandaman Art | <1 | ~1 in 2 boxes |
Every card in OP16: full card list & prices
| Class | Cards | Avg price | Per box | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manga rare | 3 | $1,067 | 1 in 36 | $29.64 |
| SP / wanted poster | 6 | $139 | 1 in 6 | $23.21 |
| Treasure rare | 1 | $13.82 | 1 in 12 | $1.15 |
| Alt-art SEC | 2 | $30.43 | 1 in 6 | $5.07 |
| Alt-art (SR/L/R) | 24 | $17.03 | 2.0 | $34.06 |
| SEC | 2 | $15.34 | 1 in 3 | $5.11 |
| SR | 10 | $0.64 | 7.0 | $4.48 |